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Why China's 2026 posture toward Taiwan is about absorption, not assault — and why the United States is competing on the wrong clock Reframing the Question Western analysis of Taiwan has been dominated for years by a single question: when will China invade? Force postures, amphibious lift, missile inventories, and war-game timelines now define the …
Continue reading "The New Strategy of Inevitability: Beyond the Invasion Date"
Why America Fears Its Own Creations and China Doesn't When HAL 9000 refuses to open the pod bay doors, no American watching 2001 is surprised. We were waiting for it. We are always waiting for it. The machine that turns on its maker is not a plot twist in our culture — it is the expected ending, the one …
Continue reading "The Machines We Imagine–Why is A.I. Evil? DeMarco Banter"
In 1977, Pink Floyd released Animals, an album widely interpreted as a critique of class, capitalism, and power. Nearly fifty years later, it reads less like social commentary and more like a field manual for a domain of conflict that had not yet been named. What listeners once heard as allegory now looks uncomfortably like architecture. The categories …
I have been an unapologetic Star Wars fan since 1977. My St Charles grammar school friends will confirm this, probably with more detail than I would prefer. What started as a kid mesmerized by an opening crawl has, over the decades, become something more useful: a recognition that science fiction is often where strategists rehearse …
Continue reading "The Cloaked Asteroid and the Strait: Strategic Paralysis as a Theory of Victory"
Empires do not fall because they expect to. They fall because they misread the direction they are moving until the range of available choices narrows beyond recovery. This is not a story of sudden collapse. It is a story of gradual imbalance—of systems that once integrated power effectively beginning to rely too heavily on a …
One of the things I enjoy is putting on a song, really listening to it, and then taking it apart — turning it over, getting into what the artist was after, what's hiding underneath the melody, what it means beyond what it says. Sometimes a song rewards that kind of attention in ways that surprise …
Recent public statements about targeting national infrastructure—power grids, bridges, and even water systems—have revived an old and uncomfortable question: when does war against an adversary’s capacity become war against the society itself? The distinction is not academic. It sits at the center of how modern conflict is constrained, justified, and ultimately judged.¹ States have always …
I. The Foundational Split: Two Incompatible Visions of War The most important thing to understand about Clausewitz and Sun Tzu is that they are not simply different tacticians — they inhabit fundamentally different universes of what war is. Clausewitz Clausewitz defines war as an act of violence intended to compel the opponent to fulfill one's will.1 His framework …
On the American inability to distinguish the imminent from the existential An old bit of frontier wisdom says to prioritize the alligator nearest the boat. That advice works when the alligators are of roughly equal size. It fails catastrophically when the small alligator in front of the boat is a distraction from the much larger …
Continue reading "The Nearest Alligator Is Not the Biggest: DeMarco Banter"
Drafted 4 May 2025 Shadow Strategy: The Enduring Challenge of Gray War: Implications for Air and Space Power Thankful for National Defense University's Prism Journal for publishing this article. Here is the original piece prior to edits The contemporary global security environment is increasingly characterized by competition and conflict that falls short of traditional armed …
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