The Kill Line: Strategy in an Age of Thresholds: DeMarco Banter

Modern strategy is increasingly about thresholds rather than targets. In Chinese video-game culture, the kill line refers to a simple mechanic: the point at which a character’s remaining health is so low that any additional hit—no matter how small—results in elimination. Above the line, mistakes are survivable. Below it, they are terminal. Recovery is no longer possible. …

Iran, The Global Risk Budget and the Volatility Tax Through the Trinity: DeMarco Banter

Great powers do not run one war at a time. They run a portfolio of risk. The binding constraints are not courage or rhetoric; they are magazine depth, industrial replenishment speed, alliance cohesion, and senior-leader attention. A U.S. campaign against Iran therefore cannot be evaluated in isolation. It must be assessed against the broader risk …

It’s the Strategy, Stupid…or How Did I Get Here? DeMarco Banter…

I'm sure all the "old" folks out there recall the phrase "It's the economy, stupid." In the realm of leadership... we might look at this infamous phase in a deeper and slightly new light.  While on a U.S. National Level.... it appears to still be about the economy (more or less, COVID, etc)... but on a …

Meeting the Future Before It Gets Here…a plea for today’s leaders… DeMarco Banter

"It is only as we develop others that we permanently succeed." - Harvey Firestone Blogger’s Note:  This piece was written almost a decade ago—sometimes it is good to go back and review—has anything changed?   Recently, the Chief of Staff of the United States Air Force, General Mark Welsh, noted: "Now more than any time …

You Don’t Know The Power of The Dark Side and Horrible Bosses: DeMarco Banter

I've been doing some light reading this week...light reading usually means pointless reading in usual DeMarco Fashion...books like Death Star by Michael Reeves and Steve Perry (don't think it is the same Perry of Journey fame...but you never know). The book chronicles the building of the Death Star and career of Grand Moff Willhuff Tarkin. …

What’s In A War: The Iran discussion the U.S. must have by Fallon, Hagel, Hamilton, Pickering, and Zinni

DeM Banter:  So many issues to consider here...of course we all wish it were black and white, but live in the gray... not only do we need to ponder the 3rd and 4th order effects, we need to take it out to the 10th.  Amazed we don't hear more about national security from the candidates....  …