The Quiet War Within: Leon Festinger and the Architecture of Self-Deception: DeMarco Banter

There is a tendency, particularly within military and strategic communities, to locate failure externally. We point to adversaries, to resource constraints, to political incoherence, or to the friction inherent in complex systems. These are all real. But they are not sufficient. The more dangerous failure—the one that precedes operational collapse—is internal. It is cognitive, psychological, …

What Cognitive Warfare Actually Looks Like: DeMarco Banter

A distorted mirror, an Axios article, and the battle for orientation I read an Axios article the other morning that stuck with me longer than I expected. Not because it was particularly dramatic, but because it triggered a simple question: if what the article suggests is true, do people actually realize what they are looking at? …

The Kill Line: Strategy in an Age of Thresholds: DeMarco Banter

Modern strategy is increasingly about thresholds rather than targets. In Chinese video-game culture, the kill line refers to a simple mechanic: the point at which a character’s remaining health is so low that any additional hit—no matter how small—results in elimination. Above the line, mistakes are survivable. Below it, they are terminal. Recovery is no longer possible. …

When You Are Not Magnificent, Do Not Perform Magnificence: DeMarco Banter

Leadership requires confidence. It does not require believing we are magnificent. In fact, I’d be worried about any leader who genuinely thought they were. There’s a line in the song Holocene by Bon Iver that captures a truth most leaders eventually confront: “I was not magnificent.” That line isn’t self-criticism. It’s scale awareness. There are moments in leadership when …

Fighting the Good Fight: Humiliation, Orientation, and the Tragedy of Institutions: DeMarco Banter

“Fighting the good fight is mostly a series of humiliations.” — Unknown congresswoman, Fallout, Season 2 I don’t know how many are watching Amazon Prime’s Fallout—call it a guilty pleasure—but one throwaway moment lands harder than most prestige television monologues. As an unnamed congresswoman is physically ejected from a New Vegas casino, stripped of status and relevance in …

The Industrial Web Is Dead. Long Live the Cognitive Web. Rethinking Victory in the Digital Age: DeMarco Banter

In a hardened shelter at a forward operating location in the Indo-Pacific, a B-21 Raider crew runs through final pre-flight checks. The mission is straightforward by contemporary standards: penetrate contested airspace and neutralize a critical node in an adversary’s anti-access network. The aircraft—stealthy, networked, and exquisitely lethal—represents the apex of American airpower. The mission is …

Punk as Strategy: How Institutions Adapt When Authority Lags Reality–DeMarco Banter

Punk did not begin in 1976 with a sneer, a safety pin, or a Sex Pistols B-side. Those were sparks, not origins. As Chris Sullivan argues in a recent essay—and expands powerfully in his book Punk: The Last Word—punk is not a genre, a haircut, or a moment in British cultural history. It is a mindset. A way of confronting …

Nothing Changes On New Years Day: DeMarco Banter

For years, I have posted this EVERY NEW YEAR'S--and I started thinking, does it mean anything new now? New Year’s Day has aged remarkably well precisely because it was never about a calendar flip. It was always about the tension between symbolic moments and structural reality—a problem leaders, strategists, and innovators are still wrestling with. Every New …

Regime Change Is an Event. Instability Is a Process: DeMarco Banter

I, along with so many of my peers, have been professionally involved in, adjacent to, or forced to reckon with American regime-change efforts since Panama. I was a young officer when Noriega was removed quickly, decisively, and—by historical standards—cleanly, an experience that would later prove to be the exception rather than the rule. From Panama …

 Icons in the Shadows: What Bowie, Dylan, Ozzy, and Idol Taught Me About Life at the Edge—DeMarco Banter

I just finished reading Dancing with Myself Billy Idol’s raw and intense autobiography. Around the same time, I watched the Ozzy Osbourne biography—No Escape From Now, an oddly moving portrait of the Prince of Darkness. Then there was A Complete Unknown, the 2024 biopic starring Timothée Chalamet as a young Bob Dylan and loosely based on Elijah …